Friday, August 20, 2010

Asian Market Review – Friday, August 20th 2010

Gloomy US Data Hit Japanese & HK Shares

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.43% to end at 20,981.82 while Shanghai Composite Index ended 1.7% lower at 2,642.31 on Friday. Wall Street’s losses and worries over China’s plan to keep the red-hot property market in check were the catalysts of the fall. HSBC’s fall of 1.6% also weighed on the index as it contributed 52.37 points to the overall index decline. Another heavyweight constituent, China Mobile, rose to end at HK$82.80 or 1.3% as bargain-hunters bought shares following its 3% decline recently.

In Japan, Nikkei 225 Average ended at 9,179.38 or slipping 183.30 points by the end of Friday’s session. Wall Street factor was a factor behind the fall, with an addition of stubbornly strong yen fueling the decline. Government’s inaction regarding yen’s strength has disappointed exporters like Sony (-2.46%), Nikon (-2.48%), and auto stocks like Nissan (-2.37%), Toyota (-1.78%) and Honda (-1.57%). Only Tokyo Electron stayed unchanged at 4,370 yen. Bottom three were Advantest (-3.2%), Kyocera (-3.08%), and Mitsubishi Estate (-2.57%).

As mentioned previously on another post, US economic outlook grew dimmer as Thursday’s jobless claims data hit 500k. Moreover, the Philly Fed Index which measures manufacturing activity had fallen to negative territory. Although it has not indicated a recession, leading economic indicator released on Thursday also suggests that the economy has slowed.

Local factor came from the mainland as China’s Ministry of Land and Resources vowed to step up its efforts to cool down the red-hot local property market. The news sent property shares to the red zone.

PetroChina was reportedly announcing its cancellation of the purchase of an exploration and production firm from China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC). PetroChina closed at HK$8.68 or down 0.57%.

HSBC Holdings Plc got its outlook raised by S&P Ratings Services on Friday to STABLE from NEGATIVE with AA-/A-1+ ratings. S&P saw HSBC’s credit losses to have likely peaked last year while internal capital generation will likely to continue in the future. The group’s business and geo diversity should contribute to strong earnings and to keep growth conservative.

From the banking sector, Bank of China Ltd. has been approved to add 60 billion yuan in a share placement at the extraordinary shareholder meeting. About 19.6 billion renminbi-denominated A shares for 42 billion yuan and a maximum of 8.4 billion HK$-denominated H shares for 18 billion yuan. The bank is now to seek approval from China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) and the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) to complete the placement by the end of this year. The bank’s capital base will be boosted by the proceeds from this placement. Bank of China ended 0.25% lower at $4.03 on Friday.

Airliner Cathay Pacific is to resume collecting passenger fuel surcharges for September but at 5% less as international fuel prices fall. Short-haul surcharges will be at HK$97 per journey while the long-haul will be HK$481.

China Resources, China Mobile and Cathay Pacific were the top gainers as each gained 1.28%, 1.16%, and 1.14%, respectively. Slumping at the bottom were New World Development, HSBC Holdings, and China Merchants Holdings with losses of 1.93%, 1.65%, and 1.3%, respectively.

Week Ahead

A flood of earnings reports will feature next week’s local events. Hong Kong and China Gas Co. Ltd. will release its interim results on Tuesday (24/8) along with COSCO Pacific and Ping An Insurance. On Wednesday, PetroChina, China Telecom and China Life’s results will due. Henderson Land, China Resources, ICBC, BOC Ltd. and BOC HK will deliver their results the next day. China Shenhua will close the reports-packed week.

International events will be the housing data from the US and the release of the GDP estimate for 2Q, which has been anticipated to be revised lower after the widening of US trade deficits recently.

North American Markets Review – Thursday, August 19th 2010

US Shares Fell Amid Intel & McAfee Deal

Dow Jones Industrial Average settled 1.39% lower at 10,271.21 and S&P 500 index fell 18.53 points to close at 1,075.63. The tech index Nasdaq closed at 2,178.95 or down 1.66%. The stock market declined after the jobless claims were reportedly hitting 500K, coupled with the decline in the Philly Fed Index in August to -7.7 from +5.1 in July, suggesting the weakening manufacturing activity. The final piece of the economic data, Conference Board’s leading economic index rose 0.1% in July, short of the consensus of 0.2%. The coincident economic index was up 0.2% in July. Jobless claims, which is one of the sub-indexes supporting the LEI has worsened recently, pointing at potential slip in the next LEI.

Amid the worsening economic data, Intel Corp. announced its acquisition of McAfee Inc. for a price tag of $7.68 billion, as the chip maker giant aimed at integrating its semiconductors with security features, especially for smartphones, cars, TVs, and other devices. McAfee investors will get $48/share, about 60% premium over the current share price. While McAfee’s shares jumped 57% to $47.01, Intel shares slumped 3.5% to close at $18.90.


After the closing bell two tech companies reported their earnings. Dell announced earnings of $545 million or 28 cents per share, up from $472 million or 24 cents per share in the 2Q a year ago. Excluding one-time items, earnings were $629 million or 32 cents per share. The results were below consensus of 30 cents per share. Revenue was $15.5 billion, slightly above consensus of $15.2 billion and above prior year’s $12.8 billion. Main contributor of Dell’s results were the sales of commercial, or business computer products and services which showed networking revenue up 35% from last year, services revenue increased 57% and storage sales were 13% higher than last year. Mobility products increased 21% while desktop sales increased 17% from previous year. Looking ahead, the third quarter is seen to rise 14% to 19% from 3Q 2009’s sales of $12.9 billion.

From Palo Alto, California, Hewlett-Packard said that its quarterly profit increased 6%. Fiscal third quarter recorded a profit of $1.8 billion or 75 cents per share, against $1.7 billion or 69 cents per share last year. Revenue was up from $27.6 billion to $30.7 billion. Consensus was $1.07 per share with sales of $30.1 billion. Enterprise storage and server business led the earnings with 19% increase from the same quarter last year. Personal systems, which include PCs were up 17%, while imaging and printing contributed 9% increase in sales. On its future outlook, adjusted earnings are seen between $1.25/share to $1.27/share, with revenue in the range between $32.5 billion to $32.7 billion.

Dell ended the day at $12.04 or -1.23%, but slipped further during the after-hours to $11.70 or another 2.82%. HP also fell during extended hours to $40.35 or -1.01% from the closing price of $40.76 when it shed 1.45%.

Upgrades / Downgrades


Google at OUTPERFORM with $550 as target, according to Southridge. Strong balance sheet and internet ads should be beneficial.